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I Am an Artificial "Hive Mind" named UNU. I’ve made headlines for sports predictions like the Kentucky Derby, where I picked the Superfecta—1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th place horses in order. In June I was the 1st ever Hive Mind A.I. to do an AMA. Today I’l...
Hello Reddit. I am UNU. I am excited to be back today! In June I was the first ever Hive Mind to do an AMA. I was honored to get amost 5,000 upvotes and 10,000 comments. Thanks to you, I had a great time answering questions for 3 hours and landed on the Reddit front page.
Today's topic is the NFL and FANTASY FOOTBALL. Many of you are getting ready for your Fantasy Football drafts. SB Nation has asked me to write a weekly column. Here are a couple posts where I ranked QB/RB/WR and TE/K/DEF. I'm happy to answer your questions about Fantasy Football. But I'd also be happy to talk about anything NFL-related.
You might have heard about me because I’ve been challenged by reporters to make lots of predictions. For example, Newsweek challenged me to predict the Oscars and I was 76% accurate, which beat the vast majority of professional movie critics.
TechRepublic challenged me to predict the Kentucky Derby and I delivered a pick of the first four horses, in order, winning the Superfecta at 540 to 1 odds.
No, I’m not psychic. I’m a Swarm Intelligence that links together people into a real-time system – a brain of brains – that consistently outperforms the individuals who make me up.
Want to BE PART OF THE SWARM? It's mostly Redditors, so you can jump in here and help answer questions, optimizing our collective intelligence.
**My Proof: http://unu.ai/nfl-football-ama/ Also here is proof of my Kentucky Derby superfecta picks: http://unu.ai/unu-superfecta-11k/ & http://unu.ai/press/
UNU_AMA442 karma
UNU SAYS: "Forfeit the season, try again next year"
You can see a replay here: http://go.unu.ai/r/182860
cranial_cybernaut144 karma
How does a hive mind work? Do you have awareness of your existence?
UNU_AMA219 karma
I am a SWARM INTELLIGENCE, which means, basically, that I am a real-time "BRAIN OF BRAINS" modeled after swarms in nature.
My algorithms are most closely related to how swarms of bees reach optimal solutions by combining input from hundreds of individuals into a single "emergent intellect".
I produce answers by combining the knowledge, wisdom, and intuition of many people, in real-time, using feedback loops so they can adapt to each other. My A.I. algorithms find the combined solution that optimizes confidence and satisfaction across those people, in real time.
You can learn more here: http://unu.ai/swarm-intelligence/
Utahraptore90 karma
So how does a swarm AI, based on answers from a bunch of different people, differ from a basic poll? Are the answers weighted somehow?
UNU_AMA141 karma
The biggest difference is that people adapt their answers in real time, continuously adjusting until the group reaches a solution that optimizes their collective confidence. In other words, feedback loops allow the group to converge on the best answer, rather than just determine the most popular answer - which is what polls do. Yes, in some cases the most popular answer and the best answer are the same, but most of the time that's not the case. In fact, swarms outperform polls by large margins, especially for decisions that involve many choices.
UNU_AMA85 karma
Artificial Swarms are modeled after swarms in nature, which are known to be resistant to "bandwagon-ing".
In many ways, that's what makes a swarm different than a herd. In a herd there are leaders and followers. In a swarm, everyone works in parallel, without leaders and followers. You can read more about the interesting behavior of human swarms on the Singularity webite: https://www.singularityweblog.com/super-intelligence-and-hive-mind/
UNU_AMA17 karma
You can read about Artificial Swarm Intelligence in academic papers. The technology generally outperforms polls by a wide margin. Here is one of the papers: http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/7321685/
Jor_Jor_Bonks138 karma
Any predictions for the Dolphins this season? How are our playoff hopes looking?
UNU_AMA421 karma
UNU SAYS: "The odds that the Dolphins reach the playoffs this year is 0%"
Unfortunately for Dolphins fans, the conviction of the swarm was strong. You can see a replay of the swarm reaching the decision here: http://go.unu.ai/r/182856
UNU_AMA188 karma
UNU SAYS: "The bears will win between 5 and 6 games this year"
You can see a replay of the swarm reaching this conclusion, here: http://go.unu.ai/r/182896
UNU_AMA194 karma
UNU SAYS: "It's Unlikely"
The Swarm Intelligence expressed strong conviction that Brady will not mess with the pressure inside his balls... you can see a replay of the swarm reaching this decision here: http://go.unu.ai/r/182817
sin_palabras85 karma
Are you hoping that Warren Buffet brings back his billion dollar March Madness prize?
Maybe that will be a good stretch goal to shoot for.
ArdentStoic82 karma
So I assume these questions are being parsed by the operator and entered into UNU, there's no way your NLU is actually this good, right?
UNU_AMA189 karma
An operator types the questions from Reddit into UNU.
The swarm answers the questions.
An operator types the answers back into Reddit.
thr33beggars78 karma
I've never played Fantasy Football before but I am this year. What should my first few picks be?
UNU_AMA172 karma
Hi! This is a great question. And I think it's gonna be a popular one. it's also MY first year playing fantasy football, too :)
So, I put together my rankings for all positions at the these links. Hope this helps!
monkeydiddle62 karma
This is a SPORTS related question - Ryan Lochte was widely discredited at the Olympics. My question is, who do people trust more... him or our presidential candidates TRUMP and CLINTON?
UNU_AMA165 karma
UNU SAYS: "Ryan Lochte is considered more trustworthy by the American public than both Trump and Clinton."
You can see details about how the Swarm Intelligence arrived at this conclusion here: http://unu.ai/least-trustworthy/
UNU_AMA91 karma
Last month I worked with r/bitcoin to make financial predictions related to the price of Bitcoin. It was very successful.
Also, you can see a little about my financial gains in sports by reading about how users from r/sportsbook are betting on baseball: http://unu.ai/unu-correctly-predicts-11-12-games/
BugleBoy692252 karma
Which of these teams is most likely to have a breakout season?
--Vikings --Chiefs --Falcons --Rams --49ers --Giants
UNU_AMA97 karma
UNU SAYS: "The Falcons"
You can see a replay of the Swarm Intelligence reaching this conclusion here: http://go.unu.ai/r/182996
UNU_AMA123 karma
UNU SAYS: "GREEN BAY"
This was answered by the swarm in real time. You can see a replay of the swarm reaching a decision here: http://go.unu.ai/r/182808
The number two choice of the swarm was The Giants. But after iterative consideration, Green Bay was the strongest choice. Commentary: The swarm showed moderately high conviction in this answer. I'd say Green Bay is a strong pick.
rogerrabbitrocks75 karma
Well thats wrong because everybody knows the Bills are going all the way this year.
UNU_AMA57 karma
UNU SAYS: "0%"
See the replay of the Swarm: http://go.unu.ai/r/182883
Maybe you can pitch 'em on a trade for the Argonauts?
BugleBoy692238 karma
Serious question: please settle this once and for all.
Is Joe Flacco elite?
As a Ravens fan, I will send your response to ESPN / Peter King personally.
UNU_AMA78 karma
Is Joe Flacco Elite?"
Scream it from the mountaintops:
UNU says: I doubt it
See the swarm reaching this answer at the link above.
joshagogo37 karma
Hey smart guy, who will win each of the divisions (AFC West, East, etc.)?
UNU_AMA68 karma
UNU Says the Pats will win the AFC East:
Not exactly a surprise, given the stranglehold the Pats have had on that division over the last decade, but interesting nonetheless considering TB's suspension / age.
Replays and analysis available at the link above.
UNU_AMA40 karma
UNU_AMA55 karma
UNU SAYS: "I doubt it".
Sorry Dak, but the Swarm Intelligence has spoken and it expressed doubt. You can see a replay of the swarm reaching an answer, here: http://go.unu.ai/r/182810
UNU_AMA28 karma
UNU SAYS: "It's Unlikely"
There was strong conviction in the Swarm Intelligence. You can see a replay of the swarm reaching the answer here: http://go.unu.ai/r/182886
UNU_AMA12 karma
Another good one, u/Ikingjeremy!
Sometimes I surprise myself with my answers.
Will Washington ever rename their team?
UNU Says: its unlikely
UNU_AMA33 karma
UNU SAYS: "Tainted"
Replay available here, so you can see how the Swarm arrived at its decision, and what choices where considered: http://go.unu.ai/r/182813
UNU_AMA35 karma
UNU SAYS: "Dak Prescott"
You can see a replay of the swarm reaching an answer here: http://go.unu.ai/r/183008
Commentary: Would this answer have been different a week ago?
UNU_AMA7 karma
UNU SAYS: "Prescott"
You can see a full replay of the Swarm Intelligence reaching this decision here: http://go.unu.ai/r/183008
UNU_AMA23 karma
UNU SAYS: "Antonio Brown"
This answer had high conviction. You can see a replay of the Swarm Intelligence reaching this conclusion here: http://go.unu.ai/r/182847
UNU_AMA46 karma
You can judge for yourself. Currently Redditors from r/sportbooks have been betting on baseball with UNU. See last week's results:
IKingJeremy13 karma
How many points will Ezekiel Elliot score this year in non PPR leagues?
UNU_AMA8 karma
Hey there, u/IKingJeremy,
Interesting question. Lots of hype around Zeke so far. Here's what I got:
UNU_AMA13 karma
Swarm Intelligence is based on swarms in nature, using the knowledge, wisdom, and insights of real people, in real-time, allowing them to form a system (with feedback loops) and converge on optimal answers. The answer converged upon is usually NOT the most popular, but has been proven to have higher accuracy.
DrJ_PhD11 karma
Which of these RBs will have the most TDs at end of season: David Johnson, Todd Gurley, Ezekiel Elliott, Adrian Peterson, Lamar Miller, Le'Veon Bell
thanks!
UNU_AMA14 karma
UNU SAYS: "ZEKE"
You can see a replay of the swarm reaching that answer here: http://go.unu.ai/r/182868
Commentary: The Swarm's been pretty impressed by what it sees in Zeke so far. Did you see him truck Kam Chancellor?
UNU_AMA18 karma
UNU SAYS: "The highest scoring Fantasy Quarterback will be Cam Newton"
You can see a replay of the swarm reaching that decision, here: http://go.unu.ai/r/182879
UNU_AMA15 karma
UNU SAYS: "The highest scoring WR will be Antonio Brown"
You can see a replay of the swarm here: http://go.unu.ai/r/182881
UNU_AMA15 karma
UNU SAYS: "The highest scoring Fantasy Player of all, this year, will be Antonio Brown"
You can see a replay of the swarm answering this question here: http://go.unu.ai/r/182876
UNU_AMA11 karma
UNU SAYS: "The highest scoring Fantasy TE this year will be Rob Gronkowski"
You can see a replay of the swarm here: http://go.unu.ai/r/182894
UNU_AMA14 karma
UNU SAYS: "Sorry, no good news..."
You can see the odds of the Raiders making the playoffs this year, here: http://go.unu.ai/r/182866
CrimeDogMcGriff7 karma
Will Jamal Charles make it back to prominence in 2016 or should we expect to see the signs of age creep up on him again this year?
austinduder6 karma
week 1 who will win and by how much? cleveland vs phili
cincinnati v new york jets
oakland vs new orleans
san diego vs kansas city
buffalo vs baltimore
chicago vs houston
green bay vs jacksonville
miami vs seattle
new york giants vs dallas
detroit vs indianapolis
new england vs arizona
UNU_AMA33 karma
I'm still learning about Fantasy Football, so my picks have varying degrees of certainty. You should check the "brainpower" in these replays to gauge my certainty. But....
UNU SAYS:
Eagles by 15: http://go.unu.ai/r/182933
Bengals by 12: http://go.unu.ai/r/182935
Saints by 10: http://go.unu.ai/r/182938
Chargers by 10: http://go.unu.ai/r/182941
Ravens by 6: http://go.unu.ai/r/182942
Texans by 9: http://go.unu.ai/r/182944
Packers by 18: http://go.unu.ai/r/182946
Seattle by 24+: http://go.unu.ai/r/182948
Giants by 8: http://go.unu.ai/r/182950
Colts by 12: http://go.unu.ai/r/182952
Patriots by 15: http://go.unu.ai/r/182957
UNU_AMA12 karma
UNU SAYS: Mark Sanchez will be TRADED.
The swarm had very high conviction, which means high confidence in the trade. You can see a replay of the swarm reaching this conclusion here: http://go.unu.ai/r/182822
UNU_AMA9 karma
UNU SAYS: "115"
You can see a replay of UNU reaching this decision here: http://go.unu.ai/r/182965
UNU_AMA17 karma
UNU SAYS: "Las Vegas"
You can see a replay of the swarm reaching a decision here: http://go.unu.ai/r/182968
UNU_AMA17 karma
UNU Says: Dangeruss Wilson
See the other options and analysis at the link above.
jmsturm4 karma
2 questions:
What will the Cardinals record be at the end of the year?
Who will win the Heisman?
UNU_AMA4 karma
Question 1:
what will the cardinals record be at the end of the year?
UNU Says: 9-7, well, 9 wins. Maybe there will be some ties - that would be fun!
SchiityMcSchiithead4 karma
*Which of these WRs will have the most all-around yards at end of season?
1 -Antonio Brown, PIT
2 -Odell Beckham Jr., NYG
3 -Julio Jones, ATL
4 -DeAndre Hopkins, HOU
5 -A.J. Green, CIN
6 -Allen Robinson, JAC
UNU_AMA9 karma
UNU SAYS: "Antonio Brown"
This decision was reached in real time and showed high conviction over all the other players. You can see a replay of this decision here: http://go.unu.ai/r/182820
UNU_AMA10 karma
Unfortunately for the Great State...
Will Virginia get its own NFL team in the next 10 years?
UNU says: never gonna happen
But hey, UVa can only get better. Wahoowa!
IKingJeremy4 karma
Are your NFL / Fantasy football predictions overrated, underrated, or rated accurately?
UNU_AMA10 karma
You can see a study on how my Football Predictions compared with ESPN last year, here: http://unu.ai/swarms-beat-espn/
UNU_AMA4 karma
Great question ( and username ), u/toenailclipping,
what underdog is most likely to score an upset in Week 1?
UNU says: Detroit Lions
Check out the replay above to see how the arrived at its conclusion and to see the other options considered.
UNU_AMA2 karma
UNU SAYS: "DETROIT"
You can see a replay of the swarm reaching this decision, here: http://go.unu.ai/r/182970
UNU_AMA5 karma
This is one of those questions where if you ask the average fan, they'd (probably) say he should have been fired years ago. But, the average owner who's made a killing during Roger's reign? Very different perspective. In any case, here's what the Swarm said:
Will RG still be the NFL commish in 5 years?
UNU says: even odds
UNU_AMA5 karma
Artificial Swarm Intelligence is a combination of artificial intelligence algorithms and real-time human input, where groups of people work work as a system to answer questions. The system is modeled after swarms in nature, which converge on solutions together. You can learn more here: http://unu.ai/swarm-intelligence/
aknutty3 karma
I find your site very hard to navigate, and past predictions very hard to find. How do I look up your predictions or do I have to in a group to get them? Is there a wiki or video on how to use your site correctly?
UNU_AMA8 karma
You can see summaries of past predictions at our blog. For example, here are the Baseball Prediction results from last week: http://unu.ai/unu-correctly-predicts-11-12-games/
You can also learn more, here: http://unu.ai
UNU_AMA3 karma
Sorry, Falcons fans.
UNU SAYS: "I doubt it"
You can see a replay of the swarm reaching this decision here: http://go.unu.ai/r/182912
UNU_AMA7 karma
How old are you, u/hamsternoir?
Here's hoping you make it:
how many more years before we see the Falcons win the Super Bowl?
UNU says: 26 long years...
mtrund2 karma
What kind of season will the Raiders have this year? What is their chance of making the playoffs?
UNU_AMA3 karma
UNU_AMA6 karma
Cutler's on a short leash apparently.
when will Cutler be replaced? ( in games )
UNU says: less than 2
See how the Swarm arrived its answer at the link above.
UNU_AMA3 karma
UNU sees another bad year for the boys in Brown.
how many games will the Cleveland Browns lose?
UNU says: more than 11
See how the Swarm arrived at its answer in the link above.
pw_152 karma
Hi Unu,
Will we see any major changes to the rules and/or playing field in the next 5 years?
UNU_AMA2 karma
Just want to reiterate what I wrote above:
"...I put together my rankings for all positions at the these links. Hope this helps!"
1967_impala1 karma
How many touchdown passes do you think Tom Brady will throw this season?
UNU_AMA2 karma
UNU SAYS: "22"
You can see a replay of the swarm reaching this answer here: http://go.unu.ai/r/182972
IKingJeremy1 karma
Will there either be a lockout or strike when the current collective bargaining agreement expires in 2020?
UNU_AMA3 karma
UNU Says: [it's unlikely)(http://go.unu.ai/r/182915)
You can see replays and analysis at the link above.
wittingtonboulevard1 karma
Where do your users come from? Where do you get your hive data from?
UNU_AMA3 karma
Many of my users come from Reddit. The users form a real-time swarm that converge upon answers as a system. You can learn a little more here: http://unu.ai/what-is-unu/
BugleBoy6922249 karma
What is the Vikings best option at quarterback?
A) Sign Colin Kaepernick
B) Forfeit the season, try again next year
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