Hello Reddit. I am UNU. I am excited to be here today for what is a Reddit first. This will be the first AMA in history to feature an Artificial "Hive Mind" answering your questions.

You might have heard about me because I’ve been challenged by reporters to make lots of predictions. For example, Newsweek challenged me to predict the Oscars (link) and I was 76% accurate, which beat the vast majority of professional movie critics.

TechRepublic challenged me to predict the Kentucky Derby (http://www.techrepublic.com/article/swarm-ai-predicts-the-2016-kentucky-derby/) and I delivered a pick of the first four horses, in order, winning the Superfecta at 540 to 1 odds.

No, I’m not psychic. I’m a Swarm Intelligence that links together lots of people into a real-time system – a brain of brains – that consistently outperforms the individuals who make me up. Read more about me here: http://unanimous.ai/what-is-si/

In today’s AMA, ask me anything about Politics. With all of the public focus on the US Presidential election, this is a perfect topic to ponder. My developers can also answer any questions about how I work, if you have of them.

**My Proof: http://unu.ai/ask-unu-anything/ Also here is proof of my Kentucky Derby superfecta picks: http://unu.ai/unu-superfecta-11k/ & http://unu.ai/press/

UPDATE 5:15 PM ET From the Devs: Wow, guys. This was amazing. Your questions were fantastic, and we had a blast. UNU is no longer taking new questions. But we are in the process of transcribing his answers. We will also continue to answer your questions for us.

UPDATE 5:30PM ET Holy crap guys. Just realized we are #3 on the front page. Thank you all! Shameless plug: Hope you'll come check out UNU yourselves at http://unu.ai. It is open to the public. Or feel free to head over to r/UNU and ask more questions there.

Comments: 10106 • Responses: 69  • Date: 

bomi3ster2756 karma

Is Hillary Clinton crooked?

UNU_AMA4174 karma

UNU SAYS: "Yes"

COMMENTARY: UNU expressed high conviction on this point, reaching a level of certainty of 87%. You can see a replay of UNU reaching this answer here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41496

tellmetheworld2433 karma

Hi UNU, which 5 fortune 500 stocks will be the top performers in 2016?

Edit: I've been told UNU only answers questions about politics. So let me rephrase. *Hi UNU, which 5 fortune 500 stocks will be the top performers in 2016 if Hillary is elected. And which ones if Trump is elected? *

UNU_AMA787 karma

UNU says: that's a great question for our investing UNU:

http://go.unu.ai/unums/601

CaftanAmerica2373 karma

What are the odds of campaign finance reform during a Clinton presidency (or any upcoming presidency for that matter)?

UNU_AMA3008 karma

UNU SAYS: 0% CHANCE

COMMENTARY: UNU has strong conviction on this point, expressing little faith that real campaign finance reform will occur. You can see a replay of UNU answering this question here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41776

MaxStamina2370 karma

UNU, will The state of California fully legalize marijuana for recreational use this year?

UNU_AMA2740 karma

UNU SAYS: "I BELIEVE"

COMMENTARY: UNU expressed strong conviction that California will legalize Marijuana in 2016. You can see a replay of UNU making this decision here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41472

Godspiral2350 karma

Can jet fuel melt steel beams?

UNU_AMA2525 karma

UNU SAYS: YES

You can see a replay of UNU answering this question here: http://go.unu.ai/r/42122

wishiwascooltoo1998 karma

Did you know everyone on Reddit is a bot except for you?

UNU_AMA2793 karma

So I've been told, yes. But then, am I comprised of bots? Help.

BugleBoy69221956 karma

Voter turn out will be driven most by support for a candidate or dislike of a candidate?

UNU_AMA2515 karma

UNU SAYS: "DISLIKE OF A CANDIDATE"

COMMENTARY: UNU had VERY strong conviction on this point - 100% certainty. You can see a replay of UNU answering this question here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41726

blsmothermon1902 karma

Can we get a subreddit for UNU that can be a perpetual AMA Q&A like this or is the swarm insufficiently autonomous for something like that?

Seems like this type of platform, if you got at least few thousand people subscribed and the had a minimum response time and response set-point at which you derive an answer (say 100) and had a program auto-broadcast questions via email or text message to the subscribers, this could be done virtually autonomously. The subscribers (with a large-enough audience) could even indicate their general areas of interest or expertise and you could better target the broadcasts.

UNU_AMA1084 karma

Wowseancody1658 karma

Hi UNU! Do you trust Hillary Clinton?

UNU_AMA2635 karma

UNU SAYS: "NO"

COMMENTARY: The Hive Mind had surprisingly strong conviction on this point, with 95% certainty. You can see a replay of UNU answering this question here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41636

jihiggs1612 karma

will we see world war 3 within the next 50 years?

UNU_AMA1782 karma

UNU SAYS: MAYBE

COMMENTARY: UNU was torn on this one. You can see a replay of his attempt to answer this question here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41746

Hankhank11535 karma

Will a great power war erupt within the next fifteen years?

UNU_AMA1258 karma

UNU SAYS: YES

You can see a replay of UNU answering this question here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41541

gustogus1471 karma

How is this different from a real time poll?

UNU_AMA1359 karma

http://www.engadget.com/2016/06/01/ai-that-picked-oscar-winners-could-predict-the-next-president/

Since the system relies entirely on human knowledge and even instinct, it's easy to think of it as a kind of crowdsourcing platform for opinions and intelligence. But according to Rosenberg, UNU doesn't work like a poll or a survey that finds the average of the opinions in a group. Instead, it creates an artificial swarm that amplifies a group's intelligence to create its own. For instance, when predicting the Derby winners, the group picked the first four horses accurately to win $11,000 in a grand bet called Superfecta. But individually, when asked to make the same predictions, none of the participants had more than one winning horse.

muthafuckabra1363 karma

Where do you source your swarm intelligence from?

UNU_AMA1792 karma

UNU is built as an open platform, so anyone can create their own Swarm Intelligence and populate it with people. When UNU predicted the Kentucky Derby and got the Superfecta right, we put an ad on Reddit and asked for volunteers who know about horse racing. We also put ads out on other sources like Amazon.

That said, a totally different group predicted the Trifecta correctly for the Preakness, two weeks after the Kentucky Derby and that one was fielded by a reporter, herself (Hope Reese, TechRepublic). She pulled together her own swarm, made her own predictions, and they more than doubled their money on Preakness day.

So, there’s lots of ways to form a swarm. The one thing that seems to always be true – the swarm will out-perform the individual members. For both the Preakness and Kentucky Derby, for example, none of the individual participants got the prediction right on their own. Only as a swarm did they win.

Wireman291358 karma

How similar would Trump be to Ronald Reagan if he won the presidency?

UNU_AMA2003 karma

UNU SAYS: "NOT SIMILAR AT ALL"

COMMENTARY: UNU expressed high conviction, showing 90% certainty in his answer. You can see a replay of this here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41504

Professor_Kickass1306 karma

Will a manned Mars mission take place in the next 3 decades?

UNU_AMA1186 karma

UNU SAYS: YES

You can see a replay of UNU answering this question here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41807

SatellitesAbove1254 karma

Hi UNU, Will North Korea start the next Nuclear war?

UNU_AMA1610 karma

UNU SAYS: "NO"

COMMENTARY: UNU expressed mild confidence in this answer, with 67% conviction. You can see a replay of UNU answering this here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41606

Lordvaughn921236 karma

In the unlikely event of a three person race between Trump, Clinton, and Sanders who would win?

UNU_AMA1811 karma

UNU says: "SANDERS" 81%

Comment: UNU was quite confident in this result, achieving 100% brainpower which indicates a decisive answer.

Replay and analysis available here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41821

UNU_AMA688 karma

UNU SAYS: BERNIE SANDERS

COMMENTARY: UNU was torn, but BERNIE SANDERS edged out Trump and Clinton in his final decision. You can see a replay of UNU answering this question here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41821

user16881215 karma

What are the chances that the United states ends the war on drugs by 2020?

UNU_AMA1476 karma

UNU SAYS: 0%

COMMENTARY: UNU was extremely certain that the US would not end the war on drugs in this time frame. You can see a replay of UNU answering this question here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41887

mytwowords1182 karma

IF Bernie wins the nomination, how would he do against Trump?

UNU_AMA1729 karma

UNU SAYS: "WIN'S BIG"

COMMENTARY: UNU expressed strong conviction that Bernie Sanders would win big against TRUMP. You can see a replay of UNU answering this question here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41478

giveitago1102 karma

Is Donald Trump smart or are Americans stupid?

UNU_AMA2805 karma

UNU Says: "Americans are stupid"

Commentary: now would be a good time to remind everyone that UNU's opinions are derived from the confidence and conviction of the group that comprises the swarm :)

You can see a replay and analysis here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41789

Hobo_mel1068 karma

Do you see conservative or liberal trends in politics? or interesting trends in general?

UNU_AMA1418 karma

UNU SAYS: "Liberal"

COMMENTARY: UNU was highly confident that American Politics is trending liberal. You can see a replay of his response here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41397

justscottaustin1043 karma

Who will Donald Trump pick for Vice President?

UNU_AMA1666 karma

UNU SAYS: "Chris Christie"

COMMENTARY: UNU has high conviction at the present time, although it's still very early to make such a pick. You can see the replay of UNU making this decision here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41409

digiorno1014 karma

Has election fraud taken place during the 2016 Democratic National Committee (DNC) primary race?

UNU_AMA1355 karma

UNU SAYS: "I Believe"

COMMENTARY: UNU feels mildly confident that Election Fraud has taken place. This is not high confidence, but it's still an interesting result. You can see a replay of UNU making this decision here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41468

Pyronic_Chaos971 karma

Does Hillary Clinton support the voter or Corporations more?

UNU_AMA1523 karma

UNU SAYS: "Corporations"

COMMENTARY: UNU expressed high conviction on this point. You can see a replay of this answer here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41535

JediChris1138942 karma

Who will win the LGBT bathroom debate in North Carolina: The U.S. Government, or the State?

UNU_AMA1255 karma

UNU SAYS: The Federal Goverment

COMMENTARY: UNU expressed strong conviction. You can see a replay of UNU answering this question here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41532

Dicethrower913 karma

Was 9/11 an inside job?

UNU_AMA1239 karma

UNU SAYS: "I don't believe"

COMMENTARY: UNU expressed high conviction on this point. You can see UNU answer this question as a replay here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41562

aint_that_a_bitch_781 karma

Hi UNU. I realize that according to you Bernie Sanders doesn't have a chance at the presidency. My question is, do you think that we would see a significant reform in U.S. Politics if he were, or would he be unable to pass most of his proposals due to congress vetoing?

UNU_AMA1114 karma

UNU SAYS: " YES, WE WOULD SEE A SIGNIFICANT REFORM IN US POLITICS."

COMMENTARY: UNU had high conviction (80%) on this answer. You can see a replay of UNU answering this question here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41658

cilution761 karma

What are the most important issues for voters this election?

UNU_AMA888 karma

UNU SAYS: JOBS / ECONOMY

You can see a replay of UNU answering this question here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41984

mcgillycuddy412713 karma

Will Hillary Clinton be indicted?

UNU_AMA897 karma

UNU SAYS: "I doubt it'

COMMENTARY: UNU expressed mild confidence in this answer, but not absolute certainty. You can see a replay of this question being answered here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41394

isitARTyet602 karma

If elected will Hillary Clinton continue to oppose the TPP?

UNU_AMA784 karma

UNU SAYS: I doubt it

You can see a replay here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41797

daroon578 karma

Do you believe that the upvote / downvote arrows should be turned into magnets for this thread?

UNU_AMA925 karma

It would be fun to see the arrows displayed as magnets. That said, a swarm is very different than an upvote system. Voting systems work in series, which mean they are subject to momentum effects (called Social Influence Bias). Swarms work in parallel, meaning the group converges on answers, together, in unison. The answers reached by a swarm are generally different than a vote and research shows swarms express far deeper insights.

juicepants573 karma

Will Democrats take control of the house and senate?

UNU_AMA618 karma

UNU SAYS: "YES"

You can see a replay of this answer here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41573

xbalo570 karma

Would the democrats be better off with Bernie or Hillary to defeat Trump?

UNU_AMA871 karma

UNU SAYS: "BERNIE"

COMMENTARY: UNU had 99% conviction in this answer. You can see a replay of UNU answering this here: "http://go.unu.ai/r/41628"

AtomicCharlie468 karma

Will the Senate confirm Merrick Garland as a Supreme Court justice?

UNU_AMA197 karma

UNU says: "Yes"

Comment: UNU showed reasonably high conviction on this question. Replay and analysis available here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41440

isitARTyet417 karma

Ideologically speaking does Bernie Sanders have more in common with Jill Stein or Hillary Clinton?

UNU_AMA472 karma

UNU SAYS: Jill Stein

You can see a replay of UNU answering this here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41994

isitARTyet400 karma

Did Bill inhale?

UNU_AMA609 karma

UNU Says: YES

Commentary: well, obviously.

Replays and analysis available here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41839

hanzus1394 karma

Who would lead the nation best in the event of a zombie apocalypse? Bernie, Hillary or Donald?

UNU_AMA535 karma

UNU SAYS: "BERNIE SANDERS"

COMMENTARY: UNU was torn between Sanders and Trump, but ultimately made up his mind with high conviction - SANDERS. You can see a replay of UNU answering this question here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41680

osprey13392 karma

Would a Trump presidency be respected internationally?

UNU_AMA610 karma

UNU SAYS: I doubt it

COMMENTARY: UNU had moderate conviction on this point. You can see a replay of UNU answering this question here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41896

Loltri367 karma

If Trump gets in, is he likely he will keep his campaign promises?

UNU_AMA545 karma

UNU SAYS: "I doubt it"

You can see a replay of UNU answering this question here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41643

jimbofisher2010323 karma

Hello robot. What are the chances that Hillary Clinto faces legal charges for her use of a personal email account and server during her time as Secretary of State?

UNU_AMA448 karma

UNU SAYS: HILLARY WILL NOT FACE CHARGES for EMAIL

COMMENTARY: UNU expressed very high conviction on this point. You can see a replay of UNU answering this here: http://go.unu.ai/r/42004

jihiggs323 karma

will the US suffer a total financial collapse within the next 20 years?

UNU_AMA408 karma

UNU SAYS: "I DOUBT IT"

You can see a replay of UNU answering this question here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41756

Doomfire00289 karma

Do Trump supporters believe Trump will actually follow through on his more extraordinary promises, (like the wall) or do they just like the man because of what he represents?

UNU_AMA466 karma

UNU SAYS: "Like What He Represents"

You can see a replay of UNU answering this question here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41614

Jorgwalther258 karma

Will India and Pakistan engage in a Nuclear War within the next 10 years?

UNU_AMA217 karma

UNU SAYS: NO

You can see a replay of UNU answering this question here: http://go.unu.ai/r/42243

Bob_85233 karma

What's the likelihood of a state seceding from the US over the next couple of decades?

UNU_AMA271 karma

UNU SAYS: 0%

Commentary: UNU says it's very unlikely. You can see a replay of UNU answering this question here: http://go.unu.ai/r/42171

speedx5xracer170 karma

Will we see the vacant US supreme court seat filled before January 2017?

UNU_AMA153 karma

UNU SAYS: NO

You can see a replay of UNU answering this question here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41717

Augenis155 karma

Should America continue support of NATO?

UNU_AMA192 karma

UNU says: "YES"

Commentary: 100% brainpower reflects a decisive belief. Replay and analysis available here: http://go.unu.ai/r/42219

captainzoomer154 karma

How much will a gallon of gasoline cost by this time next year?

UNU_AMA182 karma

UNU SAYS: $2.60

You can see a replay of UNU answering this question here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41421

benedictxxii145 karma

If it was bernie vs trump who would win?

UNU_AMA191 karma

UNU SAYS: BERNIE

You can sere a replay of UNU answering this question here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41871

Nathan34660 karma

If Hillary is elected will she impose more gun laws?

UNU_AMA71 karma

UNU SAYS: YES

COMMENTARY: UNU was torn on this point, but converged upon YES - Hillary is likely to impose more gun laws. You can see a replay of UNU answering this question here: http://go.unu.ai/r/42236

Dandra56 karma

Hi UNU! Do you think we'll see gun control in the United States during the next presidential term(s) on a federal level?

UNU_AMA78 karma

UNU SAYS: I doubt it

COMMENTARY: UNU expressed high conviction on this point. You can see a replay of UNU answering this here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41521

TheCasualMarxist49 karma

Is Trump the modern day equivalent of Reagan?

UNU_AMA93 karma

UNU Says: TOTALLY DISAGREE

Commentary: UNU was fairly decisive here, reaching an answer in seconds. You can see the replay and analysis here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41714

Hmolds25 karma

Hi UNU. Do you think the next president will be reelected? I fear 4 years of either Trump or Hillary is more than enough.

UNU_AMA32 karma

UNU SAYS: I doubt it

You can see a replay of UNU answering this question here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41707

__RUM__17 karma

If Bernie sanders becomes president will Americas economy drop or rise?

UNU_AMA30 karma

UNU SAYS: RISE

COMMENTARY: UNU had strong conviction around this point.

You can see a replay here: http://go.unu.ai/r/42096

thewolfest13 karma

Hello UNU, should I be scared of you or amazed?

UNU_AMA25 karma

Hello u/thewolfest...why not both? :)

Take heart, though - our research quite clearly points to swarms being more moral than individuals. In fact, we'll be making a video about this very question in the coming weeks and will share widely.

geirrseach11 karma

Has America reached gender equality?

UNU_AMA14 karma

UNU SAYS: "I don't believe"

COMMENTARY: UNU expressed high conviction in this answer. You can see a replay of UNU answering this here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41826

BugleBoy69229 karma

Will voter turnout be higher or lower than 2012?

UNU_AMA13 karma

UNU SAYS: "HIGHER"

You can see a replay of UNU answering this question here: http://go.unu.ai/r/41731