IAmA blogger for FiveThirtyEight at The New York Times. Ask me anything.
I'm Nate Silver, the founder of FiveThirtyEight, the blog where we help New York Times readers cut through the clutter of this data-rich world. I also wrote about the world of predictions in "The Signal and the Noise" which you can buy at Amazon.
Ask me anything, although I'm especially interested in talking about our forecasts of the 2012 election, how polling is changing, America's budgetary politics and sports. I'll start answering questions at 2 P.M. Eastern time.
Update: 2:01 PM ET: Hi everyone, I'm here answering questions now. Thanks for all the great ones you've sent and please keep them coming.
Update: 4:08 PM ET: Thanks to everyone in the Reddit community for the warm welcome and the great questions. I enjoyed the opportunity to answer them. I'll try to check in later to see if there are any other questions I can answer.