w122

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w12228 karma

It is exponentiation growth

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exponential_function

An exponential fit to the number of cases from mid-July through to mid-September suggests that their number now doubles every 24.3 days (as opposed to every 29 days previously).

http://www.geert.io/exponential-growth-of-ebola.html

Exponential Growth’ in the Ebola Outbreak: What does it mean?

http://sacemaquarterly.com/other-infectious-diseases/exponential-growth-ebola-outbreak-mean.html

The effective reproduction number, Rt, of Ebola virus disease was estimated using country-specific data reported from Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone to the World Health Organization from March to August, 2014. Rt for the three countries lies consistently above 1.0 since June 2014. Country-specific Rt for Liberia and Sierra Leone have lied between 1.0 and 2.0.

http://www.eurosurveillance.org/ViewArticle.aspx?ArticleId=20894

If reproduction number is below 1 then it will die out by it self. If it is above 1 then it will spread.

w12227 karma

What information do you have about phoenix program ?

Phoenix Program

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phoenix_Program

and can you provide some information about long-range reconnaissance patrol ?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Long_Range_Reconnaissance_Patrol#In_Vietnam

Any and all information you can share will be appreciated. Thank you

w12221 karma

25 percent chance Ebola will be detected in the United Kingdom and 18 percent chance it will turn up in the U.S. – by the end of September

http://www.fredhutch.org/en/news/center-news/2014/09/Ebola-cases-10000-September_Fred-Hutch.html

also

Assessing the International Spreading Risk Associated with the 2014 West African Ebola Outbreak

http://currents.plos.org/outbreaks/article/assessing-the-international-spreading-risk-associated-with-the-2014-west-african-ebola-outbreak/