Highest Rated Comments


slm4993 karma

Yes. You and /u/ScorchingBonzai have to kiss now, that's correct.

slm4941 karma

She actually was married to Jim Carey!

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jim_Carrey#Relationships

slm4934 karma

Excellent explanation, and thank you for adding the caveat that DRS and UZR both have flaws. UZR in particular has egregious flaws (e.g. it doesn't even know where a player is standing at the start of a play). imo, even the advanced defensive metrics have only tenuous value, and we generally put way too much stock into them. I think we will see giant strides with FIELDf/x-based metrics.

slm4912 karma

fWAR says, "hey, there's only three things a pitcher can control: walks, strikeouts, and home runs allowed." So, fWAR's definition of "run suppression" is based solely on K/BB/HR. You cite Archer's high BABIP -- a saber-oriented person would attribute that to luck (i.e. quality of defense behind a pitcher). fWAR is more theoretical.

bWAR says, "hey, we want to measure what happened when the pitcher is on the mound: let's look at how many runs he allowed, including unearned runs". bWAR's measure of pitcher value is more conventional. bWAR is more outcome-based.

Now, people are sort of split on this (hence, there are two different metrics). Personally, I think people are too quick to throw around the word "luck". Inducing three lifeless ground balls to the shortstop may not be a repeatable skill, but it doesn't mean the pitcher was "lucky". To me, "lucky" a defensive player bailing a pitcher out with an amazing, unlikely diving catch that "should" have been a hit. Thus, I think the best way to measure a pitcher's value is by using bWAR.

I think ERA is the best metric for grading a pitcher, because -- sustainable or not -- it's what happened. Similarly, I think xFIP (as opposed to ERA) is the best tool for projecting how well a pitcher will do going forward.

slm497 karma

The thing is, it's so hard to have discussions about pay without knowing location. $60k in the Midwest is a lot of money, $60k in California is like living at the poverty line. If one person is citing their salary is from location A and the other person is sharing their salary is from location B, it can be really misleading and not have really be a meaningful comparison.