lifeinaglasshouse

After several errors in the Rust Belt in 2016, election forecasters re-worked their methodologies and were largely accurate during the 2018 midterms. The notable exception? Florida, where polling indicated both Ron DeSantis and Rick Scott would lose their respective races. This time around, The Economist states that Joe Biden has a 79% chance of winning Florida, despite the fact that he has a narrower polling lead than both Andrew Gillum and Bill Nelson had on the eve of the 2018 midterms.

After forecasters missed Florida in 2018, how can you be so confident that Joe Biden will win the state?

What's the likelihood that the FCC ruling can be reversed by another FCC ruling the next time there's a Democrat in the White House?