Hello Dr. Goldin, former student of yours here. Cool to see you doing an AMA on Reddit!
My question is: how can we improve the polling accuracy for elections? Days before the most recent presidential election, NYT had Hillary winning with 90% likelihood. Only one or two major news networks come to mind that predicted Trump's victory. What are the major shortcomings that led to this huge difference in expectations and reality?
gerpsohappy19 karma
Hello Dr. Goldin, former student of yours here. Cool to see you doing an AMA on Reddit!
My question is: how can we improve the polling accuracy for elections? Days before the most recent presidential election, NYT had Hillary winning with 90% likelihood. Only one or two major news networks come to mind that predicted Trump's victory. What are the major shortcomings that led to this huge difference in expectations and reality?
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