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gapteethinyourmouth2172 karma

I'm obviously not one of the AMAers, but I am a physician and can answer your question with some biologic reasoning based on the information we know about COVID19 (more appropriately named as SARS-CoV-2)

COVID19 appears to have a low mutation rate (8.68*10-4 substitutions/site/year in a genome size of ~30k) [source for mutation rate: https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.11.987222v1.full.pdf]. So this means the virus mutates on an average of ~1 nucleotide/week (multiply substitution rate by genome size and divide by 52 weeks in a year). There is an average of 4-10 nucleotide dissimilarity when comparing viral genomes from Wuhan, China to NYC. Based on this, for COVID19 to mutate sufficiently to change mutagenicity of major surface proteins is exceedingly unlikely in the time frame of a few years.

This means that developing a vaccine is technically feasible with our currently technology (the methodology to rapidly develop a vaccination entails making mRNA vaccine). This does not preclude a "second wave" occurring from infection of people not previously infected and who are currently in areas that have not been hard hit yet by the virus before herd immunity is reached either by recovery from infection or sufficient vaccination.

Edit: Should also add, based on the mutation rate, it's unlikely for someone previously infected to become re-infected with the COVID19 again within the timeframe of a few years. Serology (blood antibody) tests are being developed to identify patients who have been infected and recovered to the point we can definitely say they are immune.

gapteethinyourmouth679 karma

My observations as an American: You have to be an idiot if you think Kashmir would be better off independent. Would be much tougher to go to a college in another Indian state if Kashmir were it's own country.

Jammu obviously would want to stay with India given its demographics and from polls I've seen. How would you argue for the practicality of the tiny Kashmiri Valley being its own country? From an economic and practical standpoint, India inputs more money and resources into Kashmir than Kashmir gives via taxes. How do your reconcile the economic realities of independence?

gapteethinyourmouth48 karma

Let's be honest. It's because Pakistan is a shitshow essentially failed state going nowhere. The guy is going to a college in another Indian state.

gapteethinyourmouth8 karma

What is medical education like in Brazil?

Why did you decide to become a pathologist?

Do pathologists commonly perform autopsies?

How long does it take to do an autopsy and how detailed is an autopsy report for every organ system?

gapteethinyourmouth2 karma

The OP is a teenager or barely out of the teenage years. I don't understand why people in this thread are even bothering to consider his thoughts and opinions as informed. He has no understanding of geopolitics or the fruits of being part of non-failed democracy.