edmar10

I like the name Threekonomics

What do you think of the CDC's new guidelines to not recommend testing to asymptomatic people even after they've had close contact with an individual who's tested positive?

This doesn't make sense to me when the CDC's own best estimates say 40% of people are asymptomatic, asymptomatic individuals are about 75% as infectious as symptomatic individuals and 50% of transmission occurs prior to symptom onset.

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html#table-1

Don't say doing your wife. Don't say doing your wife.

Doing your.....son?

Exactly. There's a huge medical tourism industry in Thailand/Malaysia

Here's a good article about Bayesian analysis

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/04/science/coronavirus-bayes-statistics-math.html