Malgana

The chances are a little less varied than that, but that is a good way of explaining it. I used to volunteer a lot for the Canadian Cancer Society, so I learned a lot about this stuff.

I got a burn on my foot a while back and was told I have an 80% increased chance of cancer if I expose it to direct sunlight. People took that as I have an 80% chance to die of cancer now, which is incorrect. This is often how people apply the 15-30% increase in odds you get by smoking as well, which is also incorrect.
According to google the current odds of dying to cancer are 158 per 100,000 for everyone, so I'm going off that number. All that burn did was take my 158 per 100,000 chance and make it a 285 in 100,000 chance if I expose it to direct sunlight, which IMO is not really a huge deal or anything to lose your shit over. The chances are increased, but not by the difference between a D20 and a D4, that's way too much variance. You'd maybe be closer to rolling a D19.2, were that one existed.

What you're suggesting would make it closer to a 80,000 in 100,000 chance, and highlights the ridiculousness of the mathematical difference between the chances of a 1 on a D20 and D4. I don't think anyone has ever gotten that high with their cancer risk just by smoking and not exercising, although both boost your risk by significant amounts. Would take an event like Chernobyl or something to do that kind of damage to you.

I had a playthrough where everyone was dead before Sam and Mike met up in the mines, but Sam still said she was going to split up to "Go warn the others" and climbed out to run back to the lodge...which made no sense because everyone else was dead and she knew that.

I understand that big story-driven games like this can be hard to piece together when they shift all over the place, but it's still a funny occurrence when stuff like that happens.

Have you had any phantom limb experiences? some people say they can still feel their toes and even wiggle them after they've lost their feet.