-seabass

How do you reconcile your thesis with the lack of correlation between stricter lockdown measures and covid success?

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1109011/coronavirus-covid19-death-rates-us-by-state/

Despite having polar opposite approaches, California and Florida are neck and neck in terms of deaths per 100k population. Both sit about middle-of-the-pack among the states. And Florida has a much older population.

Many heavy-lockdown states have experienced some of the worst deaths per capita, while many states which did not lock down as hard or have as much compliance and enforcement did better than the median. The reverse is also true, so there seems to be no correlation at all between lockdowns and covid success.

EDIT: Despite signing off earlier without responding, the OP has returned and replied. OP points to NZ as an example of lockdown success, which of course is an example where there were totalitarian lockdowns worse than anywhere in the US. In fact every few months during this pandemic Reddit rejoiced “NZ beats covid again” only for NZ to lock down their country over and over when one case here and there pop up. NZ also has a culturally homogeneous population, little skepticism of government, willingness to comply, and is a small isolated island nation (the perfect conditions for isolating).

But again, I asked about correlation. For every place that had lockdowns and had success, you can find a place that had lockdowns and didn’t have success. Naming NZ does not establish a correlation, which you need to see in order to decide lockdowns have any efficacy whatsoever.

I encourage people to read up on what the entire body of infectious disease knowledge said about lockdowns before covid came along. Hint, none of these big governing bodies or public health institutions recommended this type of response for respiratory pandemics. Everything you can find from pre-covid says lockdowns were not advisable, were unsupported by evidence, and caused massive collateral damage.

Not until China did it, and then one hack in the UK published massively inflated death projections from a useless, inaccurate computer model did this happen. Had they told us up front “one year” instead of “two weeks” nobody would have agreed to it. The contentious state of American politics is the only reason so many people ended up supporting lockdowns. I beg you to be willing to question the proclamations of the political group you associate with, and accept that people who are mostly right can easily be wrong on individual issues.

Can you name some times when your opinion changed on an issue after you learned more about it? Times when your preconceived notions going in turned out not to hold true.

Do you think you'll face prejudice in this AMA given that reddit, especially in the default subreddits, is so liberal? Given that you talk a lot about firearms.

Love your channel, it's a wealth of useful knowledge.

He literally admitted that he lied on purpose when he said masks don’t work in the beginning.

Bro it’s one page long. It’s like three paragraphs.